Links for 2nd March 2009

Fresh from the clogged tubes of teh intarwubs…

  1. Why Pundits Are Bad Predictors

    "In short, what experts think matters far less than how they think, or their cognitive style. At one extreme, hedgehogs seek certainty and closure, dismiss information that undercuts their preconceptions and embrace evidence that reinforces them, in what is called "belief defense and bolstering." At the other extreme, foxes are cognitively flexible, modest and open to self-criticism." Interesting.

    Tagged with: psychologypredictioncognitivethinkingphilosophypreconceptionsattitudesmediapunditry

  2. How to be happy in life: let out your anger

    "The philosopher and author Alain de Botton agrees that anger is a misunderstood emotion. "Though philosophers have traditionally been concerned with the pursuit of happiness, far greater wisdom would seem to lie in pursuing ways to be properly and productively unhappy," he said. "The stubborn recurrence of anger means the development of a workable approach to it must surely outstrip the value of any utopian quest for happiness.""

    Tagged with: sciencepsychologyemotionsanger

  3. The 21st century: FAQ

    "We're certainly going to see unknown unknowns in the 21st century. Possible sources of existential surprise include (but are not limited to) biotechnology, nanotechnology, AI, climate change, supply chain/logistics breakthroughs to rival the shipping container, fork lift pallet, bar code, and RFID chip — and politics. But there'll be other stuff so weird and strange I can't even guess at it." – Charlie Stross

    Tagged with: futurismsingularitysustainabilitydemographicsurbansocietyculturepoliticsStross

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